Federal Reserve Chairman Alan
Greenspan said Thursday there was some logic to the sky-high
value of some stocks in fast-growing Internet sector although
there was also plenty of "hype."
Ira Schwarz/Reuters |
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| Greenspan noted investors and the
financial services industry were in some cases over-optimistic
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In his first detailed comments on the surge in the high-tech
sector of the stock market, the Fed chief told the Senate Budget
Committee it was certainly possible that some of the Internet
companies with highflying stock values would succeed as others
would fail.
"The size of that potential market is so huge that you have
these pie-in-the-sky type of potentials for a lot of different
vehicles," Greenspan said in response to a question on the
Internet sector of the stock market.
"Some of these small companies which have stock prices
going through the roof will succeed and they very well may
justify even higher prices," he added. "The vast majority are
almost sure to fail. That's the way the markets work in this
regard."
An American Stock Exchange index of Internet stocks, which
had dipped briefly after Greenspan's comments, moved to session
highs. The index was up 23 points, or more than three percent to
771.
"He is looking at the reality of the situation. Even though
valuations are looking a little stretched, industries that are
new generally carry some excessive multiples," said Barry
Hyman, a market strategist at Ehrenkrantz, King and Nussbaum in
New York.
The frenzy in the Internet sector of the stock market is so
great that some company stocks have moved sharply higher even
though have not yet shown a profit. For example, Amazon.com Inc
shares rose 15 percent Wednesday even as analysts projected it
won't turn a profit until 2001.
In his testimony, Greenspan noted investors and the
financial services industry were in some cases over-optimistic
about the sector's prospects.
"You will get some lottery premium in the stocks," he
said. "Is there some hype in this? Of course, there's some
hype."
However, he added the frenzy over high-tech stocks actually
showed something positive about how Wall Street players
operate: "Mainly, that they do endeavor to ferret out better
opportunities and put capital into various different types of
endeavors prior to earnings actually materializing."
Greenspan said the risk-taking in the stock market was good
for the financial system.
"In fact with all of this hype and craziness that is
something that at the end of the day is more plus than minus,"
he said.