On the eve of a visit from French President
Jacques Chirac, the Clinton administration threw cold water on his
proposal to link the world's major currencies as a way to prevent
future global currency crises.
Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin said while the idea of creating
more stability between the U.S. dollar, the Japanese yen and the
new European Euro was appealing in theory, the practical problems
of doing it were "enormous."
But Chirac said he planned to use his Washington visit to
promote the French currency stability plan in meetings Thursday
with officials at the International Monetary Fund and World Bank
and in discussions Friday with President Clinton.
"The world financial system needs to be improved because the
world has changed," Chirac said in an interview in Paris with The
Associated Press and Associated Press Television News. "We should
not accept too large" fluctuations in currencies.
While France has received support for its ideas from Germany and
Japan, the plan is unlikely to advance given the strong opposition
of the United States.
In addition to the Washington meetings, the idea will be on the
agenda when Rubin and Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Green span meet
with their counterparts from the world's largest economies in Bonn,
Germany, on Saturday.
Despite the disagreement over currency alignment proposals,
Rubin said the Group of Seven nations the United States, Japan,
Germany, France, Britain, Italy and Canada were committed to
overhauling the global financial architecture to prevent future
Asian-style currency crises from occurring.
While Brazil was rocked earlier this year when it was forced to
devalue its currency, there are a number of signs that some Asian
nations are beginning to stabilize following steep downturns. The
crisis began in Asia in July 1997 and leveled the Russian economy
last August, triggering major turbulence in U.S. and other world
markets and prompting the Fed to cut interest rates to restore
calm.
The G-7 finance officials are expected to endorse two smaller
proposals on Saturday to promote greater disclosure of foreign
currency reserves among countries and to create an informal forum
where countries can discuss voluntary ways to improve their
regulation of financial institutions, including banks, brokerage
houses and hedge funds.
The U.S. economy has continued to expand at healthy rates
despite the global turmoil that has sent America's trade deficit
soaring, increasing protectionist pressures as American
manufacturers and farmers suffer from the loss of overseas markets
and a flood of cheaper imports into this country.
Rubin said the "international system cannot sustain
indefinitely" such huge trade imbalances and he called on Japan
and Europe to do more to stimulate domestic growth and serve as
markets for troubled economies.
While the French have not totally spelled out their views on how
major currencies could be better aligned, one major idea being
explored would be to create bands for the major currencies with
commitments by countries to intervene by buying and selling
currencies on the open market to maintain those exchange rates.
But Rubin told reporters Wednesday that "banks become wonderful
speculative targets for those who are worried about speculation"
as traders test government's resolve to spend their reserves.
Private economists are split on the idea of establishing a more
stable currency trading system. Many argue that a government's
efforts to maintain a fixed currency level are destined to be
overwhelmed by the size of the global currency market where $1.5
trillion is traded daily. But some analysts insist it is critical
that some system be established to tame current volatility.
"We have learned a lot in the past two years about the dangers
of unfettered markets," said Lawrence Chimerine, economist at the
Economic Strategy Institute, a Washington think tank. "We have got
to find a way to slow massive capital flows down."
Rubin said the Bonn meeting is expected to also call for further
discussions among G-7 countries and developing nations at a
conference in Germany in mid-March and a follow-up meeting in
Washington in April.