Republican proposals for massive tax cuts
would be "economically imprudent" and could threaten the nation's
current prosperity, Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers says.
Summers, in an interview with The Associated Press, indicated
that President Clinton was ready for a veto fight with the
GOP-controlled Congress over a number of tax relief bills, which
the administration believes would cut too deeply into future budget
surpluses.
Republicans already have succeeded in getting House approval of
a 10-year, $182 billion tax cut that would provide relief for 25
million couples who now pay more than if they were single.
And Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott, R-Miss., has said the
Senate soon would take up its own version of the bill as
congressional Republicans, still smarting from Clinton's veto of
their $792 billion tax cut plan last year, try to force Democrats
to accept a parade of smaller tax cuts or vote against tax relief
in an election year.
But Summers said: "Excessive tax cuts outside of an overall
fiscal framework that assures we are paying down debt and able to
meet future obligations would be economically imprudent and could
possibly put the economic expansion at risk."
The Clinton administration still believes the better approach is
for Congress to adopt the more modest, targeted tax breaks included
in the president's 2001 budget, Summers said. Clinton's budget
includes $351 billion in tax cuts for low- and middle-income
taxpayers, partially offset by $181 million in tax increases,
including a 25-cent per pack boost in the cigarette tax.
The GOP tax cuts, Summers said, would spur consumer spending at
a time when the economy is already running full tilt and the
Federal Reserve has embarked on a series of interest rate increases
to slow growth and keep inflation under control.
"This is not a time when it is appropriate to stimulate
consumption on a substantial scale," Summers said. He warned the
Fed could be forced to boost interest rates even higher, offsetting
the benefits of the tax cuts for consumers.
On another tax front, Summers indicated it's important to not
let the Internet turn into a tax haven for Web entrepreneurs
seeking tax breaks not available to traditional brick-and-mortar
stores.
Summers' comments reflect an effort by the administration to
find a middle ground between one group, which includes GOP
presidential candidate John McCain, who has called for the Internet
to be totally tax-free, and state and local government officials
who want to tap into revenues being generated by the
fastest-growing part of the economy.
"There should not be any penalty taxes on the Internet, but at
the same time cyberspace should not become a tax haven that
promotes evasion or avoidance of the basic taxes in our system,"
Summers said.
A Supreme Court decision bars state and local sales taxes from
being imposed on Internet sales or more traditional remote sales by
catalogue companies if those firms do not have a facility in the
state.
The sales tax now accounts for about $150 billion in revenue to
states, and proponents of extending sales taxes to the Internet
argue that it is unfair to penalize traditional businesses on Main
Street while exempting the world of e-commerce.
Summers signaled support for this view and said as an interim
step to dealing with the thorny issues involved in imposing sales
taxes on consumers nationwide, plans should be studied to harmonize
sales taxes among the various states.
In other matters, Summers:
Declared that the "fundamentals for the American economy
remain strong" but cautioned that after such a long period without
a recession, a record 107 months, it was important that businesses
and consumers guarded against complacency. "If complacency causes
consumers or businesses or government to lose sight of the
(economic) uncertainties, that can itself become a risk to the
expansion."
Repeated the administration's goal of using some of the
projected budget surpluses to pay down debt held by the public.
Agreed that the ballooning U.S. trade deficit was not
sustainable and said one way to help it decline would be to boost
the national savings rate so there would be less demand for
imported products.
Maintained that the administration is "watching the oil price
situation closely" but believes that oil prices should be set by
market forces without government intervention.