Crude oil prices in Asia made a minor
recovery Thursday after prices plunged several dollars a barrel
Wednesday.
April New York Mercantile Exchange crude futures
traded at $31.80 at 3:35 a.m. EST, up 54 cents from New York.
The contract rebounded on bargain hunting in the wake of the
sharp plunge in New York, where prices shed a whopping $2.87 a
barrel.
"There is some fresh buying from people who are taking
advantage of the low prices. Basically the market has not turned
yet. The trend is still going up," said a broker in Singapore.
Tuesday, April U.S. crude hit a nine-year peak of $34.20.
The New York sell-off was sparked by news price hawk Iran
was likely to agree to an output hike by the Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on April 1, the day after a
deal to hold back supplies expires.
OPEC sources told Reuters Wednesday that a statement
released after talks in Riyadh between Iran and Saudi Arabia
signaled that Tehran had no objections to releasing extra oil
supplies.
"Now there is consensus on raising production after April
1," one of the sources said. "Iran does not object to a
production increase. It will go along with other producers."
OPEC is to meet on March 27 to decide if it will extend the
output curbs and the market was watching for signals on what
decision OPEC would take.
Earlier this week, Iran, with Algeria and Libya, had said it
was against a production rise after March. The three producers
had said there was no need to raise output in the second quarter
because they saw demand dropping sharply in that period.
But the latest Iranian news heightened expectations that
OPEC would raise output.
"There will certainty be an increase even though a couple
of states say they object. Now it is very clear that there is a
consensus between OPEC and non-OPEC," the OPEC source said.
The output cuts, agreed between OPEC and some non-OPEC
producers early last year, had drained inventories and tripled
prices.
But some analysts believe any output hike by OPEC would be
inadequate to replenish eroded stocks.
U.S. Energy Secretary Bill Richardson said Wednesday the
Clinton administration was talking with some non-OPEC oil
producers about what to do if OPEC's output hike was not enough.
He said although OPEC members Iran, Algeria and Libya had
stated in the joint statement that they were against higher
production, he believed OPEC would, indeed, ramp up output.
"My view is that despite the view of those three members of
OPEC, that there will be an increase in production," Richardson
said.
"What is very important...is that the level of increase be
a sizeable amount and secondly, that it be done in a timely
fashion," he said.
Non-OPEC producer Mexico, who, together with Venezuela and
Saudi Arabia, had engineered the output cut deal, had hinted it
might move independently of its OPEC allies once the deal
expired.
"Our commitments end March 31," Jorge Chavez, Deputy
Energy Secretary of Mexico said at an energy conference
Wednesday.
Chavez also said the annual seasonal decline in global oil
demand may be less this year than previously due to low gasoline
inventories.
Venezuela's Oil Minister told the same conference he
expected demand to slide 2.5 million barrels per day in the
second quarter.